The Housing Market of the Future
I had the privilege this morning of listening to Steve Murray, owner of REAL Trends (a leading source of analysis and information of the residential real estate industry) and editor of LORE Magazine which features success stories about some of the top agents in the nation. Murray said REAL Trends has been tracking and predicting real estate data for years, including the 50 percent fall in the number of units sold from the peak 2005 to 2008.
In 2005, 8.3 million homes were sold. In 2008, that number had dropped to 5.4 million units. The amount this drop in volume cost is estimated at $1 TRILLION. Murray said 2009 is the floor with sales expected between 4.9 and 5.4 million units. We all now know the primary cause was due to the epic fail in consumer confidence coupled with NINJA loans = No income, no jobs, no assets. Murray believes housing sales will resume their upward track in 2010 to 2011 and that housing prices will recover as sales increase.
Meanwhile, we will continue to see strategic defaults - or people who walk away from their mortgages when they 1) can’t afford the payments on 2) a house that’s no longer worth what’s owed. These people will simply be OUT of the housing market for several years, however we wil see a gradual increase in housing sales and values in teh next five to ten years because the nation adds 1.2 to 1.4 million new households per year.
While we look to another year of flat real estate, you’ll see the exceptional agents flourish because superior service, transparency and trust mean more now than ever before. It is really kind of an exciting time to watch who will be thriving this time next year. Buyers and sellers will always go to the agents with the professional dedication and commitment to continue providing professional service.




