Foreclosures Moving Up in the Housing Market
One of the more interesting housing market trends that is becoming visible as unemployment continues to grow, and things move slowly toward recovery is the fact that foreclosures are moving up the housing market scale. We’re beyond the point where most of the foreclosures where subprime loans were made to people who maybe couldn’t really afford homes. Now we’re into prime loans, where those facing foreclosure are at a different place in the housing market. These are folks who were, by and large, responsible with their decisions, but are now in trouble due to economic factors.
Indeed, the Wall Street Journal pointed out that this past June, 30% of homes were in the top third of local housing values. Three years ago, only 16% of those homes were in the top third of the housing values. WSJ goes on to report on how this might cause problems in a housing market that has been stabilizing:
The report shows that foreclosures, after declining earlier this year, began to accelerate in the late spring and that more expensive homes have more recently accounted for a growing share of all foreclosures. “The slope of that curve in recent months is much sharper than it was recently,” said Stan Humphries, chief economist for Zillow. Rising foreclosures among more-expensive homes could create added pressure for a housing market that has shown signs of stabilizing in recent months as sales of lower-priced homes pick up.
The bottom line is that employment needs to show substantial improvement before the housing market can truly begin recovering in any solid and sustainable way. This is part of the reason that there is a debate over extending the first time home buyer tax credit — and maybe expanding it. There is concern that without government help, the economy won’t be able to sustain the gains made so far by the housing market.




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