Mortgage Rate News

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There are concerns that things may not be improving as much as hoped for the housing market. Sure, home prices seem to be stabilizing and the first time home buyer tax credit resulted in the sale of hundreds of thousands of homes. But another real estate collapse may be on the way — and we aren’t even recovered from this one. Here is what CNN Money points out about what could announce the run up to another housing market collapse:

“There is a lack of new debt,” says Michael Haas, a real estate attorney at Jones Day. “There is a hesitancy to extend credit when there is a real possibility that the real estate may be worth less than it was a few years ago.”

Now, in a situation eerily similar to the subprime crisis, the result is likely to be a wave of foreclosures and loan defaults that could, in turn, trigger a collapse in the market of the structured bonds backed by commercial real estate and construction debt.

There could be some indicators that another real estate collapse — and the accompanying mortgage crisis — could be imminent. Here are some signs to be on the watch for:

1. Big Projects: Look out for what is happening with big commercial and residential projects that are starting to default. These projects may have gotten financing during the last bubble, but they may be struggling now. And if big projects default, that means that securities based on these loans will plunge.
2. Special Servicers: These are mortgage lender firms and special servicers that take over loans that are heading for trouble in an effort to salvage the situation. When more loans are heading to special servicers, that means that it is likely that things are troubled in the mortgage market in general. That could be a sign that more defaults are coming.
3. Regional Banks: So far, many local and regional banks have been fairly well shielded from the effects of the subprime mortgage crisis. Many of them did not take on risky loans and other debt. However, as the economy continues to remain sluggish, the regional projects financed by local banks may begin to falter, and that could cause another, more severe credit squeeze.

We’re not out of the woods yet, and it is important to be on the look out for signs that things may head into another wave of foreclosures. Although, if things do start improving markedly, none of these problems may surface.