New TARP Plan: Rip Off for Investors?
Things have been a bit wild on the stock market lately. A lot of that has to do with the fact that the global economy is in recession, including official recessions in Europe and Japan. The G-20 meeting this past weekend hasn’t been helping matters. While leaders made pledges and commitments and came out saying a course of action has been agreed on, the fact of the matter is that there is very little substance to come out of the meeting. And, quite frankly, when that many people come out of a summit as satisfied as they are, it is a sure sign that very little indeed was actually resolved on and can be done practically.
One top of that, the newest incarnation of the Secretary Paulson’s TARP program is meeting less than enthusiastic response from investors. After all, Paulson hasn’t seemed to know what to do and has been changing his mind regularly. And if there is something that the stock market abhors, it’s uncertainty. So, while Paulson has a plan now, the way things are going, he might have a new plan later.
Could the new TARP plan be bad for investors?
But uncertainty isn’t the only thing in it. The new TARP plan, in which the government buys stock rather than making loans, could serve to cause problems for investors. Investing Blog makes the case against the TARP plan:
For example lets use a figurative company with 100 shares for a total market cap of $100. This XYZ company could then dilute, or create 10 new shares, for a total share count of 110. Each share would now be worth 10% less in that the 110 shares are still worth what the 100 were previously. If you owned 10 shares of stock you would own just 9% of the company when you owned 10% the day before. One share of stock would have a value of roughly $.90, opposed to $1 prior to the dilution. …
Many of the Federal government’s purchases will likely be preferred stock which does not hurt shareholder equity but instead opens more doors for taxpayer money to be lost. When a company declares bankruptcy the lineage for repayment starts first with debt owners, then preferred shareholders and then common stock holders. Before the change in the TARP program, taxpayers would be the first to be paid as they were debt holders. As of the new change, they’ll be either second or third in line rather than first, and judging from history it is unlikely that preferred shareholders will get their full value if they get anything and common stock holders will likely get nothing.
It appears as though volatility will be the norm on the stock market for quite some time.



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