Disney to Buy Marvel
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SO, the big merger news today is that Disney is going to buy Marvel. Marvel has been doing reasonably well lately, thanks to the recent popularity of comic book movies. The deal is being valued at around $4 billion. (Incidentally, that is the amount of the initial profit taxpayers have made on bank bailout paybacks.) At any rate, the shareholders who own Marvel right now will receive $30 cash per share they own. They also get 0.745 shares of Disney for each share of Marvel that they own. Which is kind of a bummer, since Marvel closed at $38.65 on Friday. Let’s do some really simple math for a minute, to see how this works out. And Disney closed at $26.84.
Let’s say you own 100 shares of Marvel. On Friday, these shares were worth $3,865. If you wait for Disney to buy them, they are worth $3,000. You will get this in cash. However, you will also get some Disney stock. You will end up with 74.5 shares of Disney on top of the cash. So, going with Friday’s close, that means your new Disney shares are worth $1,999.58. So you come out ahead after all — if you sell your Disney shares and your taxes and transaction fees don’t end up destroying the value.
Of course, this doesn’t take into account things like taxes, the fact that Disney stock is down along with the rest of the market (Marvel stock, though, is up today), and other factors. It’s just a rough estimate of the deal, which turns out to be a pretty good one for Marvel holders. Of course, with Marvel stock trading at $48.45 right now, you could end up with $4,845 in cash if you sell. Which still doesn’t quite overcome the advantage of Disney’s cash plus stock offer.
My real question is this: Will Disney ruin the Marvel comic movies I have been enjoying lately?
Disclaimer: I am not an investment professional. Nothing in this piece or on this Web site should be construed as investment advice. Before making investment decisions, do your own research and/or consult with an investment professional. All investment comes with the risk of loss. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and any loss that may result from your decisions.



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