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Investing News: Ben Bernanke in Barcelona

Ben Bernanke address the US dollar in forex tradingBen Bernanke isn’t in Barcelona right now, but his speech made earlier this morning was. And he has been speaking words meant to “build confidence” in the stock market right now — as well as the US dollar in forex trading.

Mortgage News Daily reports on Bernanke’s remarks concerning dollar weakness:

“We are attentive to the implications of changes in the value of the dollar for inflation and inflation expectations and will continue to formulate policy to guard against risks to both parts of our dual mandate, including the risk of an erosion in longer-term inflation expectations,” he said.

Bernanke also addressed other issues, including inflation and the housing market.

Stock market and Ben Bernanke’s remarks

Bernanke’s remarks also gave the stock market a bit of a boost. Bernanke insists that the second half of this year will see economic recovery, and that is adding optimism to the stock market, causing it to recover some of its losses from yesterday. Black Enterprise reports on what Bernanke said about the economy:

After the central bank’s recent interest rate cuts, loans to banks and tax rebates, the second half of the year should bring “somewhat better economic conditions,” Bernanke said in a speech in Spain. The economy faces headwinds, however, and the inflation picture remains uncertain, he said, indicating that the Fed still intends to keep interest rates on hold.

It is clear that investing decisions will have to take this information into account, and that investors in a variety of sectors will have to consider their moves — at least for now — in light of Bernanke’s comments.

However, I am skeptical of how long “boosting confidence” will keep the economy moving. Something solid will have to emerge soon in order to have lasting effect.

Disclaimer: I am not an investment professional. Nothing in this piece or on this Web site should be construed as investment advice. Before making investment decisions, do your own research and/or consult with an investment professional. All investment comes with the risk of loss. You are responsible for your own investment decisions.

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Stock Market News: Fed Interest Rate Decision and Economic Data

Fresh on the heels of a speech on the difficult economy made by President Bush, the stock futures were a little lower this morning. However, thanks to some positive economic data, Wall Street is moving back up after a lackluster opening bell.

Federal Reserve expected to lower interest rates today

While the Fed is expected to lower interest rates, some feel that Wall Street will not be satisfied with the predicted cut of “only” 25 basis points. Indeed, another issue that has investors disenchanted is the expectation that this will be last rate cut in the recent cycle of monetary easing. The Fed is expected to end its series of rate cuts on the premise that inflation is becoming a concern.

So, stock market investors should pay attention to the rhetoric that accompanies the Fed interest rate decision.

Positive economic data boosts stock market

The GDP reading for the first quarter beat the estimates, and the jobs data is expected to show an addition of 10,000 jobs. This is good news for an economy that has been hit by plenty of bad news in the last few months. Additionally, some of the companies reporting earnings (notably General Motors — GM) aren’t losing as much as predicted. All of this good news — in addition to the bump expected when the Fed interest rate decision is actually announced is combining for an optimistic start to the day.

Other investments

It is worth noting that the US dollar is making some headway in forex trading, especially against the euro. Some think that it may have bottomed out, and is poised to regain its strength. And oil prices dropped this morning to $115 a barrel, despite warnings from OPEC that $200 oil could be on the horizon.

Disclaimer: I am not an investment professional. Nothing in this piece or on this Web site should be construed as investment advice. Before making investment decisions, do your own research and/or consult with an investment professional. All investment comes with the risk of loss.

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President Bush and the Economy

This morning President Bush held a news conference to address a variety of issues, most notably the economy (but without using the word “recession“). As investors gear up for tomorrow’s expected Fed rate cut, as well as inflation data on Thursday and jobs data and Friday, President Bush assured us that measures are being taken to stimulate the economy (including the tax rebate).

The economic data, as well as the response to the president’s remarks on the economy this morning, will affect a variety of markets, from stocks to bonds to currencies to commodities. When you go to make investments, it is important that you consider economic data, as well as the rhetoric used by leaders.

President Bush addressed the issues associated with the housing market, as well as those associated with rising oil prices and with food prices inflation. A great deal of the president’s talk of the economy focused on energy costs, and ways he thinks that we can stimulate the economy by lowering energy prices.

President Bush also pressed Congress on the economy, intimating that it is the fault of the Democrat-led Congress that the economy is having problems. The New York Times reports on today’s remarks by President Bush on the economy:

Speaking at a news conference in the White House Rose Garden Tuesday morning, President Bush issued a sweeping indictment of the Democratic-led Congress, essentially blaming the sputtering economy on what he characterized as the House’s failure to propose “sensible” bills that he could sign into law. …

“On all these issues, the American people are looking to their leaders to come together and act responsibly,” he said. “I don’t think this is too much to ask even in an election year.”

While today’s remarks will likely have an effect on the stock market and other markets, it is worth noting that the Fed rate cut tomorrow, as well as worries that it will be the last for quite some time, are more likely to affect the stock market — and other markets as well.

Disclaimer: I am not an investment professional. Nothing in this piece or on this Web site should be construed as investment advice. Before making investment decisions, do your own research and/or consult with an investment professional. All investment comes with the risk of loss.

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