Economic Contraction Continues to Slow
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Stock investors are calming down after this morning’s attempt by bears to completely sell off. The negative news about the purchasing managers index initially sent shock waves through Wall Street, and resulted in a drop of more than 100 point on the Dow. However, revised GDP data has come in for quarter two, and things are looking better than expected. The Street reports on the results of the latest GDP revision:
The Bureau of Economic
Analysis said that the economy shrank by a much more svelte 0.7% annual rate during the second quarter, or over the period between April and June.Several analysts’ forecasts held that this newest revision would produce a 1.2% contraction.
The slowing contraction pace also marked an improvement compared to the government’s own previous estimate released last month, which showed GDP shrinking by 1% during the quarter.
The fact that the pace of economic contraction is slowing is providing some investors and analysts with hope that the recession is coming to an end. Additionally, there is some cautious optimism that the third quarter might have actually seen some economic growth. We won’t know, of course, until the end of the fourth quarter when the revisions are made, but there is some speculation that the recession has ended, and that the process of economic recovery (which is expected to take some time) is ready to begin.
The news has some investors feeling more confident. The Dow is back to within 20 points of going positive. The Nasdaq has actually moved into the black, thanks to a rally in tech stocks, and the S&P 500 has nudged itself into positive territory. Such news means that perhaps the bears can be completely overcome to end September on a higher note. But we’ll see. There are still three hours to go…
Disclaimer: I am not an investment professional. Nothing in this piece or on this Web site should be construed as investment advice. Before making investment decisions, do your own research and/or consult with an investment professional. All investment comes with the risk of loss. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and any loss that may result from your decisions.




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